As you all may know approximately 30% of our electricity is developed through fossil fuels and we are fully dependent on them for transportation. The unfortunate downside to these materials is they create enormous amounts of CO2 (greenhouse gas) emissions. GHG is playing a major role in the global warming phenomenon, which in turn is increasing global temperatures at an exponential rate (for those who are interested in how much this is the UN says a global temperature increase of 1.4 to 5.8 C in 100 years). To counter this, the
Kyoto protocol was created as a global initiative to significantly reduce the output of this damaging gas.
The
Kyoto protocol is an interesting piece of documentation in itself, personally I have read it and recently completed a course investigating the feasibility of implementing green energy technologies, and how they relate to the protocol. This field is extremely complex as it is a mixture of regulation, ethics, economics, etc. This is why there is so much debate over the protocol. I will attempt to go over some of the key points in the protocol and allow those who may not be familiar; a glimpse into the theories behind it.
The Kyoto Protocol's primary goal is to reduce GHG emissions 5% below 2000 levels globally, now this doesn't seem like all that much, but to increase the GDP of a country, one must increase the energy consumption. With the
US economy growing at 4%,
Canada at 3% and
China at 9%; reducing emissions is becoming increasingly difficult year after year of 'business as usual'. The protocol feels that countries that are not as developed, where standard of living is lower and emissions per capita are low; they are effectively exempt from the regulations. The developed nations are much more constrained with set goals. For example
Russia,
Australia,
Norway,
Germany are all able to increase emissions, while
Canada, US are to reduce emissions by 6% and 7% respectively. Now you can start to see where the argument starts to come into effect. How is it fair for some countries to increase emissions when the goal is to reduce? It all comes back to the pollution per person and as it turns out
Canada and the
US are THE most wasteful people on the planet.
As in many contracts, there is some leniency in the rules. The trading of emissions credits will be allowed, this means that
Canada can pay
Russia to allow ourselves to pollute even more than we do now. Why we don't take that money to invest in greener technologies such as government subsidies for hybrid vehicles is beyond me, but when does anything in this world make sense? Another thing that
Canada has been pushing for is green space,
Canada has a lot of trees that consume CO2, effectively reducing the amount of GHG emissions in our atmosphere.
One problem that is just starting to be calculated now in the EU is the effectiveness of green technology development. People are starting to estimate energy/fuel costs as a product is created throughout the whole value added process of manufacturing. For example, lets say you decide to replace a coal power plant with wind farms (already logistically hard). To create the wind farm you need to make a bunch of turbines to harness the wind. Turbines are incredibly complex devices and are some of the toughest things to manufacture in the world. Now to make that turbine, you have to invest energy and fuel to make it. Some studies are saying that the energy put into some turbines will never be recuperated by the turbine in its whole life. This is a relatively new field of study in North America;
Europe has done it for a little while now.
Bringing this back to how it affects
Canada, since signing
Kyoto in April 1998 (about 7 years ago);
Canada has yet to do one thing to implement
Kyoto. The government has been in negotiations to buy credits from other countries, lobbying the protocol to reduce obligations due to several reasons like the green space example mentioned above.
Canada would also like to reduce obligations by showing raw materials like oil production (very energy intensive) are consumed by the
US.
While I like the idea of decreasing emissions, and I think it can be done without too much harm to our economy, weaseling out of the protocol like we have been doing is unacceptable. As a side note, environmental critic Bob Mills has stated that the Conservative Party if elected will ratify the agreement. I am hesitant to see the Conservatives do this as they have fought hard to not ratify as the
US,
China and
India (major polluters) are not on board with
Kyoto. Although if you look at the flip side of the coin, the Liberals have done nothing since signing the agreement over 7 years ago. So both sides have made nothing but promises, which is unfortunate as the EU has already met its criteria and is ready for the next round of reductions.
Before jumping all over the US for its lack of ratification, I would like to point out that if the US were to enter the agreement, they would be more on track than we are currently when it comes to GHG emissions. That is how truly sad our regulations are right now. Also, for those who were Kerry supporters in this past round of elections in the
US, the Democratic Party has no plans to sign onto
Kyoto.